Forecasting FX: Finding the Right Model
Using the GARCH family of models as an example we go through the statistical tests and analysis required to pinpoint the right type of model to use based on your data’s characteristics.
Forecasting FX: A Refresher
The US Dollar is poised to keep getting stronger in the coming months and it may be a good signal to bet on its continued dominance in the FX market. However, before getting into FX trading it would be good to relearn some statistics and understand the US Dollar further.
The Federal Home Loans Bank: Due for an Update?
After 90 years the Federal Home Loans Act has only been amended to add more members once in 1989. US officials are looking to do so again but should consider updating more than just the member base.
Disaster Recovery: The Next Market Darling After Tech?
As wildfire and storms batter the country some sectors will flourish under the banner of disaster capitalism and will continue to benefit as specific sectors play an important role in disaster recovery.
The Basel III Endgame: Coming to GSIBs Near You
The Fed is having a busy year, battling inflation, closing regional banks, updating the national payment system, and now preparing the US for the Basel III Endgame. The Fed’s proposal to roll out adjustments to capital and liquidity requirements is out now and up for discussion until the end of this November.
Oil, Food, and Labor: Obstacles to the US’ Soft-Landing
As the Federal Reserve grapples with the persistent battle against inflation, another set of critical concerns is emerging on the horizon that could potentially disrupt the much sought-after soft-landing for the US economy. The spotlight is now on three pivotal factors: Oil, Food, and Labor.