Retailers: It’s Ugly, Except When It Isn’t

In a year when the S&P 500 has risen by nearly 30%, it’s hard to lose money. But it’s easy to do if you don’t identify trends, or if you identify them and try to be contrarian. This is probably clearest in the retail sector, where long-short strategies yielded...

Why Today’s Market Paradoxes Will Produce Tomorrow’s Mavens

A number of long-short hedge funds are trailing index investing in 2013. Even the largest and historically best performing funds are trailing the S&P 500, a worrying sign for any analyst whose job is to produce alpha. In some years, this is pretty easy; in 2011,...

Howard Marks on Irrational Exuberance

All investors look for gains, but the best investors look at risks, too. The mediocre and underperforming investors are definitely aware of the risks of downfalls, but their approach to risk is uneven. When markets are bearish, risk is a bigger consideration; when...